Refereed journal articles (reverse chronological order)

(+) indicates graduate student co-author; (*) indicates undergraduate co-author

Ratcliffe, J. H., Taylor, R. B., Askey, A. P., Thomas, K., Grasso, J., Bethel, K. J., Fisher, R., Koehnlein, J. (2020).

The Philadelphia predictive policing experiment. Journal of Experimental Criminology.

doi:10.1007/s11292-019-09400-2 (2nd link for supplemental materials)



Taylor, R. B., & Ratcliffe, J. (in press). Was the Pope to blame?

Statistical powerlessness and the predictive policing of micro-scale randomized control trials.

Criminology & Public Policy.

Ratcliffe, J. H., Taylor, R. B., & Fisher, R. (2019 Online First).

Conflicts and congruencies between predictive policing and the patrol officer’s craft.

Policing and Society, 1-17. doi:10.1080/10439463.2019.1577844

Lim S, Powell TW, Xue Q, Towe VL, Taylor RB, Ellen JM, Sherman SG. (2018 Online First).

Exploratory and confirmatory factor analyses and invariance assessment of the perceived

powerlessness scale among youth in Baltimore. Journal of Health Psychology.

Taylor, R. B., Haberman, C. P., & Groff, E. R. (2019). Urban park crime:

Neighborhood context and park features. Journal of Criminal Justice, 64, 13-22.

(2nd link for supplemental material)


Ward, J. T., Link(+), N. W., & Taylor, R. B. (2017). New windows into a broken construct:

A multilevel factor analysis and DIF assessment of perceived incivilities.

Journal of Criminal Justice, 51, 74-88.

Sherman, S. G., Brantley, M. R., Zelaya, C., Duong, Q., Taylor, R. B., & Ellen, J. (2017).

The Development of an HIV risk environment scale of exotic dance clubs. Aids and Behavior,

Jul;21 (7):2147-2155

Askey(+), A. P., Taylor, R. B., Groff, E. R., & Fingerhut, A. (2018).

Fast Food Restaurants and Convenience Stores: Using Sales Volume to Explain

Crime Patterns in Seattle. Crime & Delinquency 64 (14), 1836-1857

Link(+), N. W., Kelly(+), J. M., Pitts(+), J. R., Waltman-Spreha(+), K., & Taylor, R. B. (2017).

Reversing Broken Windows: Evidence of Lagged, Multilevel Impacts of Risk Perceptions on

Perceptions of Incivility. Crime & Delinquency, 63(6), 659-682.

Taylor, R. B., Ratcliffe, J. H., & Perenzin, A. (2015). Can we predict long term community crime

problems?: The estimation of ecological continuity to model risk heterogeneity.

Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency 52 (5), 635-657.

Johnson, L.T., Taylor, R.B., & Groff, E.R. (2015). Metropolitan local crime clusters:

Structural concentration effects and the systemic model. Journal of Criminal Justice 43(3) 186-194. PDF

Groff, E.R., Ratcliffe, J.H., Haberman,  C.P., Sorg, E.T., Joyce, N.M., & Taylor, R.B. (2015) Does what police do at hot spots matter? The Philadelphia policing tactics experiment. Criminology 53(1), 23-53. DOI: 10.1111/1745-9125.12055 PDF

Blasko, B. L., Roman, C. G., & Taylor, R. B. (2015). Local gangs and residents’ perceptions of unsupervised teen groups: Implications for the incivilities thesis and neighborhood effects. Journal of Criminal Justice, 43(1), 20-28. doi: PDF

Taylor, R. B., Wyant, B.R., Lockwood, B. (2015). Variable links within perceived police legitimacy?: Fairness and effectiveness across races and places. Social Science Research 49 (January): 234-248. PDF

Taylor, R.B., Lawton, Brian A., & Ellen, J. (2014). Neighborhood race and nearby race affects neighborhood changes in relative status and stability: Testing an ecological extension of the neighborhood projection thesis. World Journal of Social Science Research 1(2) [ONLINE: open access: ]

Taylor, R. B. Defining neighborhoods in space and time. Cityscape. PDF

Roberts(+), D., Taylor, R. B., Garcia(+), R.M., Perenzin(+), A. (2014). Intra-Streetblock Ordered Segmentation in a High Crime Urban Neighborhood. Journal of Architectural and Planning Research. PDF

Ratcliffe, J. H., Strang, S., & Taylor, R. B. (2014). Assessing the success factors of organized crime groups: Intelligence challenges for strategic thinking. Policing: An International Journal of Police Strategies & Management. PDF

Groff, E. R., Taylor, R. B., Elesh, D., Johnson, L. T., & McGovern, J. (2014). Permeability across a metropolitan area: Conceptualizing and operationalizing a macro level crime pattern theory. Environment and Planning A, 46(1), 129-152. PDF

Taylor, (+) L., Hiller, M., & Taylor, R. B. (2013). Personal factors and substance abuse treatment program retention among felony probationers: Theoretical relevance of initial vs. shifting scores on impulsivity/low self-control. Journal of Criminal Justice, 41(3), 141-150. PDF

Johnson, (+) L. T., Taylor, R. B., & Ratcliffe, J. H. (2013). Need drugs, will travel?: The Distances to crime of illegal drug buyers. Journal of Criminal Justice, 41, 178-187. PDF

Haberman,(+) C. P., Groff, E. R., & Taylor, R. B. (2013). The Variable Impacts of Public Housing Community Proximity on Nearby Street Robberies. Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency, 50(2), 163-188. . PDF

Wyant, (+) B. R., Taylor, R. B., Ratcliffe, J. H., & Wood, J. (2012). Deterrence, firearm arrests, and subsequent shootings: A Micro-level spatio-temporal analysis. Justice Quarterly, 29(4), 524-545. PDF

Taylor, R. B., & Lawton, B. A. (2012). An Integrated Contextual Model of Confidence in Local Police. Police Quarterly, 15(4), 414-445. PDF

Taylor, R. B., & Eidson, (+) J. L. (2012). “The Wire,” William Julius Wilson, and the Three Sobotkas: Conceptually Integrating “Season 2: The Port” into a Macro-Level Undergraduate Communities and Crime Course. Journal of Criminal Justice Education, 23(3), 257-282. PDF

Sorg(+), E. T., & Taylor, R. B. (2011) Community-level impacts of temperature on urban street robbery. Journal of Criminal Justice, 39(6), 463-470. PDF

Taniguchi, (+)  T.A., Ratcliffe, J.H., and Taylor, R. B. (2011) Gang set space, drug markets, and crime around drug corners in Camden. Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency 48(3) 327-363 PDF

Taylor, R.B., Harris, P.W., Jones, P.R., Garcia(+), R.M., McCord(+), E.S. (2011). Ecological origins of shared perceptions of troublesome teen groups: Implications for the basic systemic model of crime, the incivilities thesis, and political economy. Journal of  Research in Crime and Delinquency 48(2) 298-324. PDF

Taylor, R.B. (2010). Communities, crime, and reaction to crime multilevel models. Journal of Quantitative Criminology  PDF

Taylor, R. B., Kelly, (+) C., E., & Salvatore, (+) C. (2010). Where concerned citizens perceive police as more responsive to troublesome teen groups: Theoretical implications for political economy, incivilities and policing. Policing & Society, 20(2), 143-171 . PDF

Ratcliffe, J. H., Taniguchi, T., and Taylor, R. B. (2009). "The crime reduction effects of public CCTV cameras: A multi-method spatial approach." Justice Quarterly, 26(4), 746-770. PDF

Taylor, R. B., Harris, P. W., Jones, P. R., Weiland, D., Garcia(+), R. M., & McCord(+), E. S. (2009). Short-term changes in adult arrest rates influence later short-term changes in serious male delinquency prevalence: A Time-dependent relationship. Criminology, 47(3), 201-241.PDF

Garcia(+), R. M., Taylor, R. B., & Lawton(+), B. A. (2007). Impacts of violent crime and neighborhood structure on trusting your neighbors. Justice Quarterly, 24(4), 679-704. PDF

McCord(+), E.S., Ratcliffe, J.H., Garcia(+), R.M., and Taylor, R. B. (2007). Nonresidential Crime Attractors and Generators Elevate Perceived Neighborhood Crime and Incivilities. Journal of Research in Crime and 44: 295-320. PDF

Taylor, R. B., Goldkamp, J.S., Weiland, D.S., Breen(+), C., Garcia(+), R.M., Presley(+),  L.A., Wyant, B.R. (2007). Revise policies mandating offender DNA collection. Criminology and Public Policy 6(4) 2301-2312. PDF

Taylor, R. B., Ratcliffe, J.H., Dote(+), L., and Lawton(+), B. (2007). Roles of neighborhood race and status in the middle stages of juror selection. Journal of Criminal Justice 35(4) 391-403.  PDF

Wyant(+), B.R. , and Taylor, R. B. (2007). Size of household gun collections: Implications for gender and subcultures. Criminology 45(3) 519-546. PDF

Walsh, J., and Taylor, R. B. (2007) Community structural predictors of spatially aggregated motor vehicle theft rates: Do they replicate? Journal of Criminal Justice 35 297-311  PDF

Walsh, J., and Taylor, R. B. (2007) Predicting decade-long changes in community motor vehicle theft rates: Impacts of structure and surround. Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency 44 (1) 64-90. PDF

Wang, (+) K., and Taylor, R. B. (2006) Simulated walks through dangerous alleys: Impacts of features and progress on fear.  Journal of Environmental Psychology 26 269-283  PDF

Lawton, (+) B. A., Taylor, R. B., and Luongo, (+) A. (2005) Police Officers on Drug Corners in Philadelphia, Drug Crime and Violent Crime: Intended, Diffusion, and Displacement Impacts. Justice Quarterly 22(4) 427-451.  PDF.

Ellen, J.M., Jennings, J.M., Meyers, T., Chung, S., and Taylor, R. B. (2004). Perceived social cohesion and prevalence of sexually transmitted diseases. Sexually Transmitted Diseases 31 117-122.  PDF

Robinson, J. B., Lawton, B. A., Taylor, R. B., and Perkins, D. D. (2003). Multilevel Longitudinal Impacts of Incivilities: Fear of Crime, Expected Safety, and Block Satisfaction Journal of Quantitative Criminology 19 (No. 3, September) 237-274    PDF. 

Taylor, R. B., Anderson, T., and McConnell, P. (2003). Competencies and interest in a problem-focused undergraduate research methods criminal justice course: Two assessments. Journal of Criminal Justice Education 14 133-148.  PDF

Taylor, R. B. (2002) Fear of crime, local social ties, and collective efficacy: Maybe  masquerading measurement, maybe déjà vu all over again. Justice Quarterly 19  773-792. PDF

Taylor, R. B., and Mason, R. (2002) Responses to prison for environmental criminals: Impacts of incident, perpetrator and respondent characteristics. Environment and Behavior 34 194-216.  PDF

Taylor, R. B., and McConnell, P. (2001) BAC and Beer: Operationalizing Drunk Driving Laws in a Research Methods Course Exercise. Teaching Sociology 29, 219-228.  PDF

Kurtz , E., Koons, B., & Taylor, R. B. (1998). Land use, physical deterioration, resident-based control and calls for service on urban streetblocks. Justice Quarterly, 15 121-149.  PDF

Taylor, R. B. (1997) Order and disorder of streetblocks and neighborhoods: Ecology, microecology and the systemic model of social organization. Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency 34 113-155. (Cited in June 1997 APA Monitor story on 50th birthday of ecological psychology)  PDF


Taylor, R. B. (1996) Neighborhood Responses to Disorder and Local Attachments: The Systemic Model of Attachment, Social Disorganization, and Neighborhood Use Value. Sociological Forum 11 41-74.  PDF

Perkins, D. D., and Taylor, R. B. (1996). Ecological assessments of community disorder: Their relationship to fear of crime and theoretical implications. American Journal of Community Psychology 24 63-107. PDF

Perkins, D. D., Brown, B. B., and Taylor, R. B. (1996) The Ecology of empowerment: Predicting participation in community organizations. Journal of Social Issues 52 85-111. PDF

Taylor. R. B. (1995) The Impact of crime on communities. Annals of the American Academy of Political And Social Sciences 539, 28-45. PDF

Taylor, R. B., Koons, B. A., Kurtz  , E. M., Greene, J. R., and Perkins, D. D. (1995). Streetblocks with more nonresidential land use have more physical deterioration: Evidence from Baltimore and Philadelphia. Urban Affairs Review (formerly Urban Affairs Quarterly) 31 120-136.   PDF

Perkins, D. D., Wandersman, A., Rich, R., and Taylor, R. B. (1993). The Physical environment of street crime: Defensible space, territoriality, and incivilities. Journal of Environmental Psychology 13 29-49. PDF

Taylor, R. B., and Covington, J. (1993). Community structural change and fear of crime. Social Problems 40 374-397. PDF

Perkins, D. D., Meeks (+) , J., and Taylor, R. B. (1992). The Physical environment of street blocks and resident perceptions of crime and disorder: Implications for theory and measurement. Journal of Environmental Psychology, 12, 21-34. PDF

Kagehiro, D., Laufer, W., and Taylor, R. B. (1992). Social perception of third party consent and reasonableness test of Illinois v. Rodriguez. Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency, 29, 217-228.  PDF

Kagehiro, D. K., Taylor, R. B., Laufer, W. S., & Harland, A. T. (1991). Hindsight bias and social perceptions of third party consentors to warrantless search. Law and Human Behavior, 15, 305-314. PDF

Kagehiro, D. K., Taylor, R. B., & Harland, A. T. (1991). Reasonable expectations of privacy and third party consent searches. Law and Human Behavior, 15, 121-138. PDF

Covington, J., & Taylor, R. B. (1991). Fear of crime in urban residential neighborhoods: Implications of between and within-neighborhood sources for current models. The Sociological Quarterly, 32, 231-249. PDF

Taylor, R. B., & Shumaker, S. A. (1990). Local crime as a natural hazard: Implications for understanding the relationship between disorder and fear of crime. American Journal of Community Psychology, 18, 619-642. PDF

Taylor, R. B., & Covington, J. (1990). Ecological change, changes in violence, and risk prediction. Journal of Interpersonal Violence, 5, 164-175.  PDF

 Covington, J. C., & Taylor, R. B. (1989). Gentrification and crime: Robbery and larceny changes in appreciating Baltimore neighborhoods in the 1970's. Urban Affairs Quarterly, 25, 142-172.  PDF

Kagehiro, D., & Taylor, R. B. (1988). Third party consent searches: Legal vs. social perceptions of "common authority". Journal of Applied Social Psychology, 18, 1274-1287.  PDF

 Taylor, R. B., & Covington, J. (1988). Neighborhood changes in ecology and violence. Criminology, 26, 553-589.  PDF

 Taylor, R. B., & Hale, M. (1986). Testing alternative models of fear of crime. Journal of Criminal Law and Criminology, 77, 151-189.   PDF

 De Soto, C. B., Hamilton, M. M., & Taylor, R. B. (1985). Words, people and implicit personality theory. Social Cognition, 3, 369-382. PDF

 Taylor, R. B., Gottfredson, S. D., & Brower, S. (1985). Attachment to place: Discriminant validity and impacts of disorder and diversity. American Journal of Community Psychology 13 525-542. PDF

 Gottfredson, S. D., & Taylor, R. B. (1985). Public policy and prison populations: Measuring opinions about reform. Judicature, 68, 190-201.  PDF

 Taylor, R. B., Shumaker, S. A., & Gottfredson, S. D. (1985). Neighborhood-level links between physical features and local sentiments: Deterioration, fear of crime, and confidence. Journal of Architectural Planning and Research, 2, 261-275.  PDF

 Taylor, R. B., Gottfredson, S. D., & Brower, S. (1984). Understanding block crime and fear. Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency, 21, 303-331.   PDF

 Taylor, R. B., Gottfredson, S. D., & Brower, S. (1984). Neighborhood naming as an index of attachment to place. Population and Environment, 7, 101-111  PDF

Switzer, R.(*), & Taylor, R. B. (1983). Predicting privacy vs. sociability of residential choice: Impacts of personality and local social ties. Basic and Applied Social Psychology, 4, 123-136.

Brower, S., Dockett, K., & Taylor, R. B. (1983). Resident's perceptions of site- level features. Environment and Behavior, 15, 419-437. PDF

Taylor, R. B., Gottfredson, S. D., & Brower, S. (1981). Territorial cognitions and social climate in urban neighborhoods. Basic and Applied Social Psychology, 2, 289-303.   PDF

Taylor, R. B., & Lanni, J. C. (1981). Territorial dominance: The Influence of the resident advantage in triadic decisionmaking. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 41, 909-915. PDF

Taylor, R. B. (1981). Perception of density: Individual differences? Environment and Behavior, 13, 3-22. PDF

Taylor, R. B., Gottfredson, S. D., Brower, S., Drain, W., & Dockett, K. (1980). Toward a resident-based model of community crime prevention: Urban territoriality, social networks, and design. JSAS Catalog of Selected Documents in Psychology, 10, Ms. 2044. PDF

Taylor, R. B., & Brooks, D. K.(*) (1980). Temporary territories: Responses to intrusions in a public setting. Population and Environment, 3, 135-145.  PDF

Taylor, R. B. (1980). Conceptual dimensions of crowding reconsidered. Population and Environment, 3, 298-308. PDF

Taylor, R. B., & Ferguson, G. (1980). Solitude and intimacy: Linking territoriality and privacy experiences. Journal of Nonverbal Behavior, 4, 227-239. PDF

Verbrugge, L. M., & Taylor, R. B. (1980). Negative and positive effects of metropolitan population density. Urban Affairs Quarterly, 16, 135-160. PDF

Taylor, R. B., De Soto, C. B., & Lieb, R.(*) (1979). Sharing secrets: Disclosure and discretion in dyads and triads. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 37, 1196-1203. PDF

Taylor, R. B., & Stough, R. R. (1978). Territorial cognition: Assessing Altman's typology. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 36, 418-422. PDF

(c) 1990-2020, R. B. Taylor

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